Well I’m finally back to “writing” if that’s what I can call my ramblings for RTFA. I’m sure everyone who reads this has already heard from more legitimate sources that there is a crisis in the Gaza Strip. I’m here to give my biased opinion on the matter and *gasp* defend the Israelis. There’s been a LARGE world wide outcry condemning the Israelis, so I feel it’s important to try and add a little bit of reason to the emotional media. It really pisses me off when I see headlines like “Israel massacring Palestinians” without noting that there’s also the west bank where Palestinians and Israelis are solving their differences through diplomacy.

Yes I do care that civilians are being killed! I think it’s horrible. It’s estimated as of January 5th, 2009 that 480 people (expect those numbers to go up) have been killed and 25% were civilians. That means about 120 civilians have been killed versus the relatively few that Hamas has killed. However, that means 75% of those were Hamas, and I don’t feel bad about that at all.

A brief introduction to Hamas:
“HAMAS (in Arabic, an acronym for “Harakat Al-Muqawama Al-Islamia” — Islamic Resistance Movement — and a word meaning zeal) is a radical Islamic fundamentalist organization which became active in the early stages of the intifada, operating primarily in the Gaza District but also in Judea and Samaria. Formed in late 1987 as an outgrowth of the Palestinian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood. Various HAMAS elements have used both political and violent means, including terrorism, to pursue the goal of establishing an Islamic Palestinian state in place of Israel. Loosely structured, with some elements working clandestinely and others working openly through mosques and social service institutions to recruit members, raise money, organize activities, and distribute propaganda.”
http://www.fas.org/irp/world/para/hamas.htm

And why do I hate Hamas so much? I generally don’t like people who don’t like me:

“Sheik Ahmad Bahr, acting Speaker of the Palestinian Legislative Council, declared during a Friday sermon at a Sudan mosque that America and Israel will be annihilated and called upon Allah to kill Jews and Americans “to the very Last One.” Following are excerpts from the sermon that took place last month, courtesy of MEMRI.

Ahmad Bahr began: “‘You will be victorious’ on the face of this planet. You are the masters of the world on the face of this planet. Yes, [the Koran says that] ‘you will be victorious,’ but only ‘if you are believers.’ Allah willing, ‘you will be victorious,’ while America and Israel will be annihilated. I guarantee you that the power of belief and faith is greater than the power of America and Israel. They are cowards who are eager for life, while we are eager for death for the sake of Allah. That is why America’s nose was rubbed in the mud in Iraq, in Afghanistan, in Somalia, and everywhere.” …

“Oh Allah, vanquish the Jews and their supporters. Oh Allah, count their numbers, and kill them all, down to the very last one. Oh Allah, show them a day of darkness. Oh Allah, who sent down His Book, the mover of the clouds, who defeated the enemies of the Prophet, defeat the Jews and the Americans, and bring us victory over them.”
http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1178020746583&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull

Hamas does not recognize Israel as a country and does not want a 2 state solution, they want to kill every Citizen of Israel and create a fundamentalist Muslim nation in place of Israel’s democracy, which is so evil because it has a separation of church & state, freedom of religion, women rights and gay rights. You know why Iran has no gay problem right? Well Iran funds Hamas to take care of the gay problem in Palestine too.

So Hamas has been launching rockets into Israel on a daily basis for years, rarely hitting anything important (like people) while Israel (for the most part) doesn’t react. When they do react, it’s big though, as this current crisis exemplifies. The main reason Hamas doesn’t kill huge amounts of people is not from sympathy or lack of will, it’s because of Israel’s superior technological advantage. There’s no doubt Israel’s military is one of the best in the world. Plus they have other advantages like superior warning systems and simple things like planting trees all along the roads so would-be attackers can’t see cars driving from a distance.

Let’s step back and examine how Israel came to “occupy” (they withdrew in 2005) the Gaza Strip. In 1967 the six-day war between Arab neighbors Egypt, Jordan, and Syria with support in weapons & troops from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria began. *An interesting side note, it came out later that the Soviets were providing false intel to Syria & Egypt to instigate a conflict.* Preceding the attack Egypt’s president Nasser expelled the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEF) from the Sinai Peninsula, who were there to keep the area demilitarized after the 1956 war. Egypt then declared that the Suez Canal was off limits to any ship from Israel, effectively strangling the Israeli economy. These events and others eventually led to the war.

The Aftermath:
Israel won the war, and won it convincingly. Afterward, Israel basically tripled the amount of land they controlled, which include the Gaza Strip and West Bank among other territory. Egypt got back the Sinai Peninsula in 1981 and most recently there is discussion to give Syria back the Golan Heights in return they cut ties with Iran & militant groups like Hezbollah. The “occupied” areas that Israel controls are essentially used as buffer zones from military attacks from legitimate armies. This has worked well as buffer zones, although they haven’t been able to stop guerrillas. Also, there’s the problem of the limbo these areas are in. It definitely makes it difficult for the civilians living there.

Hamas has always thought of itself as a guerrilla resistance and they’ve struggled to deal with their recent take-over of Gaza Strip after violently expelling Fatah in the summer of 2007. They’ve branched into more political roles such as forcing men to grow beards & burning down beer factories, but they still love blowing shit up whenever they can. Simply put, this has been a long time in the making. You can only bully a guy bigger than you for so long before they turn around and kick the crap out of you.

I think Israel’s mentality here is similar to America nuking Japan. The Japanese were not going to stop attacking, because of their cultural pride, unless they were completely devastated. In fact, there was still much debate on whether or not to surrender after the bombings! Some claim the actual reason Japan surrendered was because of the soviet invasion not the A-bomb. Japan finally realized they were going to lose and decided it was better to surrender to America than the Soviet Union. Regardless, now Japan and America are friends, so even though there were hundreds of thousands of civilians killed, the military operation was a success.

Hamas is similar to Japan during WWII in this way. This Israeli attack isn’t an eye for an eye; the idea is to completely overwhelm Hamas so they have to renew the truce they broke.

Conclusions:
I’m not convinced this operation is going to work out for Israel. Hamas is not demoralized enough to break down and the international outcry helps them. The Japanese didn’t get much sympathy from the world since they were killing millions of innocent people in a brutal fashion. Hamas hasn’t done enough damage to anger the world. Hamas is operating in a true guerrilla fashion, hiding among civilians and storing their weapons in Mosques, etc. They are operating with the assumption that the invasion will not continue much longer as the international pressure grows for Israel to stop. It’s a good strategy and will probably work. Sadly, I predict a loss for Israel.

*Update: Today Israel bombed a UN sponsored school that they claimed rocket fire came from. I have not found any good evidence (like a video) that a rocket attack came from the school, but I don’t doubt the Israeli assertion. So the number of civilians causalities has gone up from yesterday unfortunately, and the worst kind, kids. My opinion is there probably was a rocket launched from this school by Hamas just to draw a retaliation that would kill a bunch of kids and draw an international outcry. However, I could be completely wrong and these conclusions could be from my strong bias. Regardless, as I predicted, it looks like Hamas is winning the political battle even if they are losing the military one.

Also, The US and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas have backed a French-Egyptian ceasefire proposal. However, the two main parties, Israel and Hamas have not accepted it. Israel seems more willing to accept the proposal than Hamas. A main factor is it must include a provision that Hamas stop smuggling & firing rockets, which they have yet to cede.

  • fumf
    Sorry farkinga, I misread your statement, you mean to remove religious requirements from join hamas?
  • farkinga
    :) No, though it's a kindof funny thought. I figured I'd make a note here: I replied about this to your previous comment.
  • Aaron
    I think you are confused when you say "I think the best case scenario for Israel would be to remove religious requirements for political representation", freedom of religious is guaranteed by law in Israel and there are many Israeli muslims & christians citizens with the ability to vote. Check out this link: http://www.middle-east-info.org/gateway/arabsinisrael/index.htm

    Essentially the palestinians are now separated into two groups following the last elections and then expulsion of Fatah from Gaza. You have Hamas controlling the Gaza Strip and Fatah controlling the West Bank. Israel is definitely willing to work with President Abbas and so is America. They've been giving him millions of dollars, free electricity & water, etc. The goal is to make Fatah strong and Hamas weak, since Fatah is much more moderate. We need to think about this as basically two separate countries that Israel has to deal with in different ways. This isn't necessarily a bad thing, considering that Hamas broke every peace deal that Israel and the PA signed.
  • farkinga
    I wasn't referring to Hamas' religious requirements - I assume they are religious fundamentalists, etc. I was referring to Israel, who grants citizens the right to vote, but who tightly controls who may be a citizen. It's true that there are Arab citizens, but this is only the case for people who lived in Israel before the 1960s. The situation is muddied when it comes to the West Bank, etc... the United States officially considers this to be part of Israel, but Israel does not grant citizenship to residents of those regions. From wikipedia for Israeli Nationality Law:

    [citizenship may be obtained by...]

    By residence

    Citizenship by residence was intended for non-Jewish denizens of the British Mandate of Palestine (Arabs, Druze, Bedouins, etc) who were considered to be associated with Palestine during the period immediately prior to the 1948 Arab-Israeli War. Such denizens who were still within the territorial confines of Israel after the war were granted full Israeli citizenship. In order to determine who was eligible for citizenship under this provision, the state of Israel conducted a population registration in 1952 and again in the 1980s. Those found to meet the requirements obtained Israel citizenship. For purposes regarding modern Israeli citizenship, this section is usually irrelevant.

    By birth

    A child born to an Israeli citizen (including children born outside of Israel as first generation out of Israel) is considered an Israeli citizen[1]. Persons born outside Israel, if their father or mother holds Israeli citizenship, acquired either by birth in Israel, according to the Law of Return, by residence, or by naturalization [2]. In other words, the principle of jus sanguinis is limited to only one generation born abroad. Despite this limitation, the descendants of an Israeli national abroad can obtain Israeli citizenship through other methods, such as the Law of Return, if they are eligible.

    By naturalization

    Adults may acquire Israeli citizenship through naturalization. To be eligible for naturalization, a person must have resided in Israel for three years out of the previous five years. In addition, the applicant must have a right to reside in Israel on a permanent basis. All naturalization requests are, however, at the discretion of the Minister of the Interior.


    The other major avenue for citizenship is the so-called Law of Return:

    The Law of Return defines that all Jews possessing an Oleh's certificate shall become Israel nationals and allowed to immigrate to Israel. Such a certificate would almost automatically turn into Israeli citizenship upon arrival in Israel if so desired. In the 1970s the Law of Return was further expanded, and it was defined that the spouse of a Jew, the children of a Jew and their spouses, and the grandchildren of a Jew and their spouses would also be covered under the Law of Return and thus be eligible for an Oleh's certificate provided that the Jew on behalf of whom they request the certificate did not practice a religion other than Judaism willingly (he or she may, however, be a non-observant Jew). In 1999, the Supreme Court of Israel ruled that Jews or the descendants of Jews that actively practice a religion other than Judaism would not be allowed to immigrate to Israel as they would no longer be considered Jews under the provisions of the Law of Return.


    According to wikipedia for Foreign Relations of the PNA:

    Ninety-six states recognize the State of Palestine, and 12 more grant some form of diplomatic status to a Palestinian delegation, falling short of full diplomatic recognition.


    Notably absent from this list are the United States, Israel, most of Europe, etc...

    At any rate, it seems like the Israeli political process, via citizenship laws, is strongly influenced by religion. Furthermore, so long as Israel 1) considers PNA regions to be part of Israel and 2) does not grant citizenship to people born in these regions, it seems like the political process is biased against real representation.

    ...which is fine, so long as 1) the Palestinian National Authority exists to provide representation and 2) the PNA, and its regions, are internationally recognized as a sovereign region.

    To put it another way, either Palestinians need to be included in the Israeli political process, or the PNA needs to be recognized. That's why I'm actually optimistic about Israel, if they liberate the Gaza Strip from Hamas and turn the region over to the PNA. I think it would be a historic moment, and would represent Israel's increasing recognition of the legitimacy of the PNA. If, on the other hand, Israel occupies the Gaza Strip, settles it, or annexes it, then I am concerned that this indicates Israel is attributing Hamas' misbehavior to the PNA... which would be step away from recognition of the PNA.

    Anyway, that's a long post and I didn't proofread it, so hopefully the HTML works out!
  • fumf
    I doubt very much that Israel wants to stay in the Gaza Strip, there's really no good reason for them to be there except for security reasons.
  • farkinga
    ...about the only reason I could imagine for occupying the Gaza Strip would be to use it for a bargain - and I'm assuming Israel doesn't want to "go there." It sounds strange to say it about a military operation, but if this goes the way I hope it will, this could really accelerate peace in the region, big time. If Israel and the PNA have a good discussion about the Gaza Strip, and if it ends up under PNA control as a result of Israel's invasion, then that will be insanely promising!

    ...also, good article!
  • fumf
    Thanks for the thoughts, that definitely would be the best case scenario but Israel has already stated its goals are not a complete takeover, just to stop the rocket attacks. I think all they're hoping for is to use the mass destruction as a bargaining chip for amas to renew a truce or better yet, start talking about a real peace deal.
  • farkinga
    The thing that concerns me about this situation is that while it's easy to recognize Hamas as illegitimate (even the PNA reject them), it's not entirely clear that Israel and the United States are willing to work with the West Bank and Golan Heights regions, which are controlled by the more legitimate PNA.

    There is a lot of confusion about Hamas and the PNA, especially following the 2006 elections where many of the representatives to be elected were affiliated with Hamas. In the aftermath of the elections, however, the PNA dissolved that government, and Hamas is no longer represented.

    It seems to me that everyone - Israel and the PNA - seek to wrest the Gaza Strip from Hamas control. What doesn't seem clear to me is if this can be contained to Hamas, or if Israeli aggression will generalize to all of the PNA. The United States has repeatedly voted against PNA representation in the United Nations, and the US does not recognize PNA-controlled areas as a separate Palestinian Nation. On this basis, the United States would not condemn Israel for invading the West Bank; instead, the US could safely say the West Bank is part of Israel.

    To inject my own opinion into the issue, I think the best case scenario for Israel would be to remove religious requirements for political representation. The separation of church and state would permit everyone to have a voice. As a second-best scenario, a separate Palestinian nation in the West Bank, Golan Heights, and Gaza Strip provides representation - this seems to be the current drive. The worst scenario, however, is an Israel that has overrun all Palestinian regions.

    On the bright side, it almost seems like the United States is encouraging a joint Israel-PNA initiative to turn over the Gaza Strip to PNA control. I think this would be great, because it would really legitimize Israel's recognition of the PNA, and it would potentially be a major step towards peace in the region. Can you imagine: Israel invades a region controlled by rogue Palestinians, so that the region can be turned over to legitimate Palestinian National Authority? I think it would be historic.
blog comments powered by Disqus