The Washington Monthly
2008/11/04/1838RTFA: http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individu…
WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN YOU’RE EXPECTING…. We are, oddly enough, just a few hours away from some states wrapping up voting for the day. It’s probably a good time to talk a little about tonight’s schedule.
At 6 p.m. eastern, the polls will close in Indiana and Kentucky.
For the past couple of election cycles, these two are called by the networks almost immediately, and are considered reliably Republican states. Tonight, Indiana may prove to be more interesting, with polls showing a close contest. Obama wouldn’t necessarily need Indiana to get to 270, but if he wins the state’s 11 electoral votes, it will reinforce the notion that McCain is in for a long night. (Also note, there are parts of Indiana, most notably Gary, where the polls won’t close until 7 p.m. eastern.)
At 7 p.m. eastern, the polls will close in most of Florida, most of New Hampshire, Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia, and Vermont.
Obviously, there are some key electoral prizes here. If McCain loses Virginia, his paths to 270 shrink considerably. If McCain loses Florida, his chances all but disappear. Also, keep an eye on Georgia, where turnout has been amazing.
At 7:30 p.m. eastern, the polls will close in Ohio, West Virginia, and North Carolina.
While West Virginia is not in play, both Ohio and North Carolina are home to an intense GOTV effort from the Obama campaign. Polls show Obama with a slight edge in Ohio, and McCain with an edge in N.C.
Good summary of the entire night’s festivities. If you’re in the East, it’s all over by 7:30. …then, it’s just a matter of hearing the tally from Ohio, Virginia, and Florida.
AAAAAHHHHHHHH!!!!!!

